Marrin, Stephen. "Homeland Security and the Analysis of Foreign Intelligence (Markle Foundation Task Force on National Security in the Information Age)." Intelligencer 13, no. 2 (Winter-Spring 2003): 25-36. Marrin, Stephen. "Homeland Security and the Analysis of Foreign Intelligence (Markle Foundation Task Force on National Security in the Information Age)." Intelligencer 13, no. 2 (Winter-Spring 2003): 25-36.
This is a general overview of the Counterterrorism Center (CTC), with some broad discussion of the analytical process and its products.
Marrin, Stephen. "Training and Educating U.S. Intelligence Analysts." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 22, no. 1 (Spring 2009): 131-146.
"In the end, the professionalization of intelligence analysis will change what intelligence educators do in two different ways: they will be required to do a better job proving that the programs produce better analysts.... And they will be required to work harder at creating a cumulative literature that provides the conceptual and theoretical foundation for the emergence of a more formal and improved intelligence profession."
Marshall, Mark G. Round Peg, Square Holes: The Nature of Imagery Analysis. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, 1997.
Martin, Joseph W. "What
Basic Intelligence Seeks to Do." Studies in Intelligence 14,
no. 2 (Fall 1970): 103-113. In Inside CIA's Private World: Declassified
Articles from the Agency's Internal Journal, 1955-1992, ed. H. Bradford
Westerfield, 207-217. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1995.
The author's ideas about the importance of basic intelligence remain valid, but computerization has overtaken the discussion of specific means.
Matthias, Willard C. America’s Strategic Blunders: Intelligence Analysis and National Security Policy, 1936-1991. University Park, PA: Pennsylvania State University Press, 2001.
According to Peake, Studies 48.1, the author was a "charter member of the CIA's Office of National Estimates.... The bulk of the book concentrates on the Cold War.... Matthias faults the United States for the Cold War's unnecessary length and vitality.... The reader learns much about the behind-the-scenes exchanges within the Board of National Estimates, the use of their product by the government, and the relationship between CIA analysts and academic experts.... [T]he book gives a unique look at strategic analysis from the inside and is worth serious attention by today's analysts and policymakers alike."
May, Ernest R., and Philip D. Zelikow, eds. Dealing with Dictators: Dilemmas of U.S. Diplomacy and Intelligence Analysis, 1945-1990. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2006.
Barnhill, Air & Space Power Journal (2008), notes that this work "is a collection of case studies developed for the intelligence and policy course offered between 1986 and 2002 at Harvard University to senior government and military intelligence officials.... [T]he authors present six case studies.... Arranged chronologically, the cases include the collapse of China, the United Nations intervention in the Congo, the removal of the Shah of Iran, the US relationship with Nicaragua's Somozas, the fall of Ferdinand Marcos in the Philippines, and the run-up to Iraq's invasion of Kuwait.... Assuming a competent instructor, these scenarios will serve as the basis for raising awareness of how much harder it is to handle a crisis in real time than in retrospect."
McCreary, John, and Richard A. Posner. "The Latest Intelligence Crisis." Intelligence and National Security 23, no. 3 (Jun. 2008): 371-380.
Using the 2007 NIE on Iran's "suspension" of the development of nuclear weapons as a pivot for their commentary, the authors argue that "[w]hen security concerns preclude publication of the key evidence on which an intelligence finding is based, the publication of the finding itself becomes doubly questionable." They conclude that there are better ways (less sensational art forms) for conveying this kind of information to a President.
McDonald, Walter. "African Numbers Game." Studies in Intelligence 8, no. 4 (Fall 1964): 11-20.
"Many, if not most," of the statistics contained in U.S. government publications about the newly independent tropical African states "are patently absurd." National accounting for population "in most African countries is by almost any standard ludicrous."
Merkle, Janet Hill. "Policy Bias." Studies in Intelligence 7, no. 1 (Winter 1963): 55-69.
The author, a "newcomer" to the world of intelligence, examines Community, CIA, and State publications concerning the situation in Portuguese Angola between 1959 and 1962 for signs of a loss of objectivity.
Miller, Bowman H. "Improving All-Source Intelligence Analysis: Elevate Knowledge in the Equation." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 21, no. 2 (Summer 2008): 337-354.
"Filling intelligence gaps and avoiding 'intelligence failures' (policy decisions[] somehow never account for failures) demand more than adding analytic manpower and creating new tools; first and foremost, they require more expertise."
Moore, David T.
1. "Species of Competencies for Intelligence Analysis." Defense Intelligence Journal 11, no. 2 (Summer 2002): 97-119. American Intelligence Journal 23 (2005): 29-43.
2. and Lisa Krizan. "Core Competencies for Intelligence Analysis at the National Security Agency." In Bringing Intelligence About: Practitioners Reflect on Best Practices, ed. Russell Swenson, 105-123. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, 2002.
3. and Lisa Krizan. "Intelligence Analysis: Does NSA Have What It Takes?" Cryptologic Quarterly 20, no. 2 (Summer/Fall 2001): 8-25. [cited p. 218/fn. 2 below]
4. Lisa Krizan, and Elizabeth J. Moore. "Evaluating Intelligence: A Competency-Based Model." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 18, no. 2 (Summer 2005): 204-220.
Muller, David G., Jr. "Intelligence Analysis in Red and Blue." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 21, no. 1 (Spring 2008): 1-12.
The author argues that the Red-Blue dichotomy in American culture reflects "two different and incompatible understandings of how the world works.... So an analyst's worldview has a fundamental impact on the accuracy of his or her analysis."
Nielsen, Nathan. "The National Intelligence Daily." Studies in Intelligence 20, no. 1 (Spring 1976): 39-51.
On 10 January 1974, the CIA replaced the booklet Central Intelligence Bulletin (CIB) with the newspaper format National Intelligence Daily (NID). The new format was DCI Colby's initiative. OCI's road to production was at times challenging.
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