Davis, Jack. Defense Intelligence
Journal. "Intelligence Analysis." 6, no 2 (Fall 1997): Entire
edition.
1. John E. McLaughlin [CIA Deputy Director for Intelligence], "New Challenges and Priorities for Analysis," pp. 11-21.
Changes in the world around us and in the expectations of consumers "add up to a fundamental shift in the analytical priorities for CIA and others in the [Intelligence] Community.... Tapping into analytic expertise across the Community and coordinating on collection activity will be essential to overcome budget and personnel constraints."
2. William R. Grundmann [DIA Deputy Director for Intelligence Production], "Reshaping the Intelligence Production Landscape," pp. 23-33.
The "viability of the Intelligence Community will depend on the seamless integration of the separate intelligence organizations and the functional elements within those organizations." One problem area is that "[w]e are, increasingly, upping the pace of current intelligence production and allotting the commensurate level of analytic manpower to meet the requirements of continuous contingencies and crises. At the same time, we have incurred significant reductions in analytic resources as a result of funding cuts over the last five years."
3. Louis E. Andre [DIA Research Director for Intelligence Production], "Intelligence Production: Towards a Knowledge-Based Future," pp. 33-45.
To be prepared to participate in the ongoing information revolution, the intelligence production community needs to make a "concerted effort to find dramatically better ways to capture and distribute digitally the extraordinary and dynamic base of knowledge resident in our analytic corps."
4. Ronald D. Garst and Max L. Gross, "On Becoming an Intelligence Analyst," pp. 47-59.
The authors seek to describe the "set of talents, skills and personal characteristics required of the successful all-source intelligence analyst."
5. Robert D. Gourley, "Intuitive Intelligence," pp. 61-75.
In times of crisis, analysts "are expected to do what they have been taught their whole career to avoid; they must make rapid assessments of enemy intentions and well developed projections based on intuition." The author makes some suggestions on how analysts might be better prepared to respond to requirements for instananeous assessments.
de Valk, Giliam. Dutch Intelligence: Towards a Qualitative Framework for Analysis, with Case Studies on the Shipping Research Bureau and the National Security Service (BVD). Rotterdam: BJu Legal Publishers, 2006.
Peake, Studies 51.1 (Mar. 2007), finds that the author's "study is impressively documented," but the conclusions point to "outcomes [that] are standard measures in most services." In addition, de Valk "has yet to validate his approach using an extensive database."
Doran, Charles. "Why Forecasts Fail: The Limits and Potential of Forecasting in International Relations and Economics." International Studies Review 1, no. 2 (1999): 11-41.
Drell, Bernard. "Intelligence Research -- Some Suggested Approaches." Studies in Intelligence 1, no. 4 (Fall 1957): 79-95.
The object of "intelligence research is not encyclopedic information; it must be limited to information that answers questions of intelligence interest.... [N]o one method is appropriate to all kinds of intelligence research. Techniques and methods must be adapted to the problem, its scope, its urgency, and to the nature of the evidence."
Dumaine, Carol, and L. Sergio Germani, eds. New Frontiers of Intelligence Analysis. Washington, DC, and Rome, Italy: Global Futures Partnership of the Sherman Kent School for Intelligence Analysis, the Link Campus University of Malta, and the Gino Germani Center for Comparative Studies of Modernization and Development, 2005.
Peake, Studies 50.1 (Mar. 2006), notes that this work consists of "15 interesting presentations" from "an April 2004 conference in Rome, jointly sponsored by the publishers of this volume.... [T]he idea that changes are necessary in order to cope with the increasing volume of data and complexity of analysis was taken seriously by the participating academic and intelligence professionals, who came from 12 countries and represented 35 organizations. The Introduction by conference co-directors Carol Dumaine and Luigi Sergio Germani outlines the major themes of the book and provides a useful series of guideposts for improving intelligence analysis."
Dunleigh, Lowell M. "Spy at Your Service, Sir." Studies in Intelligence 3, no. 2 (Spring 1959): 81-93.
The author surveys the mutuality of the relationship between analyst and collector.
Ford, Harold P. "Piety
and Wit: The Bad Effects of Covert CIA Activity." America, 11
Jan. 1975, 10-11. [Petersen]
Return to Analysis/Generally Table of Contents